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Modesto Crime Rate Report (California)

Modesto crime statistics report an overall downward trend in crime based on data from 21 years with violent crime increasing and property crime decreasing. Based on this trend, the crime rate in Modesto for 2022 is expected to be lower than in 2019.

The city violent crime rate for Modesto in 2019 was higher than the national violent crime rate average by 113.97% and the city property crime rate in Modesto was higher than the national property crime rate average by 57.21%.

In 2019 the city violent crime rate in Modesto was higher than the violent crime rate in California by 84.01% and the city property crime rate in Modesto was higher than the property crime rate in California by 42.29%.

Property and Violent Crime
Modesto Property Crime vs. State and National Per Capita
Modesto Violent Crime vs. State and National Per Capita

Modesto Crime Statistics
Summary Report

2019 Crime (Actual Data)*Incidents
Aggravated Assault1,252
Arson95
Burglary1,149
Larceny and Theft4,849
Motor Vehicle Theft1,185
Murder and Manslaughter13
Rape94
Robbery399
Crime Rate (Total Incidents)8,175
Property Crime7,183
Violent Crime1,758
2022 Crime (Projected Data)*Incidents
Aggravated Assault1,655
Arson84
Burglary565
Larceny and Theft5,395
Motor Vehicle Theft1,233
Murder and Manslaughter18
Rape125
Robbery456
Crime Rate (Total Incidents)8,166
Property Crime7,174
Violent Crime2,254

Property and Violent Crime Totals

Modesto Property Crime

Modesto Violent Crime

Actual versus Projected Crime Totals

Modesto Crime 2019

Modesto Crime 2022

City versus State versus National Crime Comparison

Modesto Property Crime vs. State and National Comparison

Modesto Violent Crime vs. State and National Comparison
* The source of actual data on this Modesto, California crime rate report is the FBI Report of Offenses Known to Law Enforcement for the corresponding year or years. Arson numbers are reported inconsistently. Zero values may indicate the data was not available. The projected crime rate data displayed above was generated from the trends and crime data available from previous years of actual reported data. In this case, the Modesto crime report data for 2022 was projected from 21 years of actual data. The last year of actual available crime data, as reported above, was 2019.

The FBI cautions the data users against comparing yearly statistical data solely on the basis of their population coverage. The comparisons made herein are thus, only meaningful upon further examination of all variables that affect crime in each reported city, state or other reported jurisdicition.



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