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Modesto Crime Rate Report (California)

Modesto crime statistics report an overall downward trend in crime based on data from 18 years with violent crime increasing and property crime decreasing. Based on this trend, the crime rate in Modesto for 2018 is expected to be lower than in 2016.

The city violent crime rate for Modesto in 2016 was higher than the national violent crime rate average by 148.91% and the city property crime rate in Modesto was higher than the national property crime rate average by 78.72%.

In 2016 the city violent crime rate in Modesto was higher than the violent crime rate in California by 121.93% and the city property crime rate in Modesto was higher than the property crime rate in California by 71.56%.

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Property and Violent Crime
Modesto Property Crime vs. State and National Per Capita
Modesto Violent Crime vs. State and National Per Capita

Modesto Crime Statistics
Summary Report

2016 Crime (Actual Data)*Incidents
Aggravated Assault1,507
Arson65
Burglary1,421
Larceny and Theft6,350
Motor Vehicle Theft1,553
Murder and Manslaughter13
Rape103
Robbery481
Crime Rate (Total Incidents)10,316
Property Crime9,324
Violent Crime2,104
2018 Crime (Projected Data)*Incidents
Aggravated Assault1,547
Arson53
Burglary1,514
Larceny and Theft5,949
Motor Vehicle Theft1,435
Murder and Manslaughter17
Rape96
Robbery469
Crime Rate (Total Incidents)9,859
Property Crime8,867
Violent Crime2,129

Property and Violent Crime Totals

Modesto Property Crime

Modesto Violent Crime

Actual versus Projected Crime Totals

Modesto Crime 2016

Modesto Crime 2018

City versus State versus National Crime Comparison

Modesto Property Crime vs. State and National Comparison

Modesto Violent Crime vs. State and National Comparison
* The source of actual data on this Modesto, California crime rate report is the FBI Report of Offenses Known to Law Enforcement for the corresponding year or years. Arson numbers are reported inconsistently. Zero values may indicate the data was not available. The projected crime rate data displayed above was generated from the trends and crime data available from previous years of actual reported data. In this case, the Modesto crime report data for 2018 was projected from 18 years of actual data. The last year of actual available crime data, as reported above, was 2016.

The FBI cautions the data users against comparing yearly statistical data solely on the basis of their population coverage. The comparisons made herein are thus, only meaningful upon further examination of all variables that affect crime in each reported city, state or other reported jurisdicition.

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