Modesto Crime Rate Report (California)

Modesto crime statistics report an overall upward trend in crime based on data from 12 years with violent crime increasing and property crime increasing. Based on this trend, the crime rate in Modesto for 2014 is expected to be higher than in 2010.

The city violent crime rate for Modesto in 2010 was higher than the national violent crime rate average by 69.87% and the city property crime rate in Modesto was higher than the national property crime rate average by 56.43%.

In 2010 the city violent crime rate in Modesto was higher than the violent crime rate in California by 55.63% and the city property crime rate in Modesto was higher than the property crime rate in California by 74.6%.
Modesto Property Crime vs. State and National Per Capita Modesto Violent Crime vs. State and National Per Capita

Modesto Crime Statistics
Summary Report

2010 Crime (Actual Data)*Incidents
Aggravated Assault899
Arson56
Burglary2,171
Forcible Rape62
Larceny and Theft5,786
Motor Vehicle Theft1,426
Murder and Manslaughter10
Robbery427
Crime Rate (Total Incidents)10,375
Property Crime9,383
Violent Crime1,398
2014 Crime (Projected Data)*Incidents
Aggravated Assault1,119
Arson52
Burglary2,535
Forcible Rape43
Larceny and Theft5,631
Motor Vehicle Theft1,403
Murder and Manslaughter15
Robbery458
Crime Rate (Total Incidents)10,581
Property Crime9,589
Violent Crime1,635

Property and Violent Crime Totals

Modesto Property Crime Modesto Violent Crime

Actual versus Projected Crime Totals

Modesto Crime 2010 Modesto Crime 2014

City versus State versus National Crime Comparison

Modesto Property Crime vs. State and National Comparison Modesto Violent Crime vs. State and National Comparison
* The source of actual data on this Modesto, California crime rate report is the FBI Report of Offenses Known to Law Enforcement for the corresponding year or years. Arson numbers are reported inconsistently. Zero values may indicate the data was not available. The projected crime rate data displayed above was generated from the trends and crime data available from previous years of actual reported data. In this case, the Modesto crime report data for 2014 was projected from 12 years of actual data. The last year of actual available crime data, as reported above, was 2010.

The FBI cautions the data users against comparing yearly statistical data solely on the basis of their population coverage. The comparisons made herein are thus, only meaningful upon further examination of all variables that affect crime in each reported city, state or other reported jurisdicition.
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